Tuesday, May 08, 2018

[fjjwhqut] Estimating resistance to invasion

The traditional narrative states that Hitler underestimated the amount of resistance the Soviet Union would put up against invasion: "We have only to kick in the door and the whole rotten structure will come crashing down."

How does one correctly estimate such a quantity?  Exactly where was Hitler's mistake in calculation?  (Was his model wrong?  Or was it poor military intelligence gathering?)  Having learned from past mistakes, do we have better models now?  Obviously, this is a taboo kind of topic, because an accurate model would tell anyone who has it, which countries today are ripe for invasion?

Previously, a nontraditional narrative of Operation Barbarossa.

No comments :