Saturday, December 01, 2018

[syjibxqb] Probability of comeback

Team is X points behind with Y minutes remaining in the game.  What is the probability of comeback, the score becoming (at least) tied before the end of the game?

Draw a scatter plot of X and Y colored by whether a comeback occurred.

Goal is to demarcate where "garbage time" begins at the end of a basketball game, whose play ought not count in statistics.

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